Wednesday, February 14, 2024

Ensuring Houston's Housing Momentum Endures Preceding the Next Storm

 

Despite concerted efforts to enhance the availability of affordable housing in Houston, the city continues to grapple with significant housing affordability issues. As plans to implement a comprehensive housing plan gain traction at City Hall, it is imperative to reinforce existing city initiatives to capitalize on the slow but steady momentum that has been building around housing as a primary concern in recent years.

With the transition to a new mayoral administration, it is crucial for the city to remain focused on addressing broader housing challenges, especially considering external factors that could exacerbate affordability issues. These risks include rising construction costs, dwindling housing supply, and the looming threat of major storms that could damage existing housing stock. Of particular concern is the prolonged interval since the region’s last significant weather event, excluding the recent winter freezes, which had a more muted impact on housing.

Since 2001, Houston has endured a series of major storm events approximately every seven to nine years, including Tropical Storm Allison (2001), Hurricane Ike (2008), and Hurricane Harvey (2017), alongside noteworthy rain events such as the Memorial Day Flood in 2015 and the Tax Day Flood in 2016. Given this historical pattern, it is reasonable to anticipate the likelihood of another significant storm or hurricane event occurring within the next 18 to 30 months, necessitating foresight from public officials as they address housing challenges in the region.

Should current housing trends persist, the occurrence of a major storm event within the next two and a half years is poised to exacerbate existing housing challenges for renters and prospective homeowners. The abstract nature of housing affordability issues makes it difficult to grasp this reality, heightening concerns that the most vulnerable residents could be overlooked, mirroring the plight of those displaced by Hurricane Harvey who continue to grapple with housing insecurity.